Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000095 0.000100 0.000106 0.000112 0.000118 0.000126 0.000134
2025-01-05 0.000085 0.000092 0.000100 0.000109 0.000120 0.000132 0.000148
2025-01-12 0.000078 0.000086 0.000095 0.000106 0.000119 0.000135 0.000155
2025-01-19 0.000072 0.000081 0.000091 0.000103 0.000118 0.000137 0.000161
2025-01-26 0.000067 0.000076 0.000086 0.000098 0.000115 0.000135 0.000163
2025-02-02 0.000065 0.000074 0.000085 0.000099 0.000117 0.000141 0.000175
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000074 0.000085 0.000101 0.000121 0.000149 0.000191
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000073 0.000085 0.000102 0.000126 0.000157 0.000207
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000074 0.000088 0.000107 0.000134 0.000173 0.000237
2025-03-02 0.000061 0.000071 0.000085 0.000105 0.000132 0.000172 0.000240
2025-03-09 0.000058 0.000068 0.000082 0.000101 0.000129 0.000169 0.000240
2025-03-16 0.000056 0.000067 0.000081 0.000101 0.000130 0.000173 0.000251
2025-03-23 0.000056 0.000067 0.000081 0.000102 0.000134 0.000184 0.000277
2025-03-30 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079 0.000100 0.000133 0.000185 0.000286
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000062 0.000076 0.000097 0.000130 0.000182 0.000288
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000059 0.000073 0.000094 0.000127 0.000181 0.000292
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000091 0.000123 0.000176 0.000287
2025-04-27 0.000046 0.000056 0.000070 0.000091 0.000125 0.000183 0.000309
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000056 0.000070 0.000093 0.000129 0.000194 0.000342
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000056 0.000071 0.000094 0.000133 0.000204 0.000379
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000098 0.000143 0.000227 0.000453
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000055 0.000071 0.000096 0.000140 0.000224 0.000456
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000053 0.000068 0.000093 0.000136 0.000219 0.000449